• Steve LeVine covers foreign affairs for Business Week. He previously was correspondent for Central Asia and the Caucasus for The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times for 11 years. His first book, The Oil and the Glory, a history of the former Soviet Union through the lens of oil, was published in October 2007. Putin’s Labyrinth, his new book, profiles Russia through the lives and deaths of six Russians. The updated paperback was released in April 2009.



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    A Blog on Russia, Energy, the Caspian and
    Beyond

    Tuesday, April 1, 2008

    C. Boyden Gray: Ho-hum on the Caspian

    The Bush administration has finally named a senior diplomat to challenge Russia in the pipeline war in Europe. He is C. Boyden Gray, the Bush family friend and GOP partisan lawyer.

    As O and G readers have read over the previous months, Russia and the West, particularly the U.S., have been in fierce competition to control the natural gas supply to Europe, and ultimately to influence the continent's politics. Under Vladimir Putin's determined, hands-on leadership, Russia has been far in the lead and, unless something changes fast, will win the contest.

    Hence a push within some circles, including Senator Richard Lugar specifically and the Senate Foreign Relations Committee in general, for Washington to get serious by naming a prominent senior statesman to spearhead the U.S. effort. The first nominee was Thomas Pickering, but his personal finances turned out to be a conflict of interest. Then, someone suggested Bush family friend Donald Evans, the former Commerce secretary, but that also went nowhere.

    Now the administration has settled on Gray, who was counsel to George H.W. Bush, and named as a recess appointment by President Bush as envoy to the European Union when the Senate refused to confirm him.

    Gray comes from similar aristocratic stock as the Bushes -- with inherited wealth, his father was secretary of the Army under Harry S. Truman, and his grandfather was chairman of R.J. Reynolds Tobacco. He graduated from Harvard, and clerked under Supreme Court Chief Justice Earl Warren.

    I'm perplexed. Is this the man to general the West's battle against one of the world's consummate players of brutal market economics, namely Vladimir Putin?

    To find out whether I'm simply out of the loop, I took a sampling of some of the best-connected readers of O and G. As usual, this sampling will be anonymously sourced:

    1. "Doesn't sound like the person we need to bring some coherency to our policy in that part of the world."

    2. "(The Senate Foreign Relations Committee) pressed Condi hard to DO SOMETHING, so, [this is] more or less her saying ‘Get this off my plate!’ This was the political compromise. Politics, not grand strategy.”

    3. "[Gray's] pluses -- close to the White House, maybe gravitas (but he is a pompous ass), smart guy. Minuses -- intensely partisan, loves to hector the EU, does not know energy, [does not speak] Russian. Bottom line -- not great but could be worse."

    4. "Really lousy appointment. Can hardly think of anyone worse."

    What's obvious is that no one of significance would accept the appointment. Which is why you have Rice simply adding new duties onto an existing envoy's portfolio. Which is also why the announcement was made in a one-paragraph statement issued with no fanfare.

    In other words, this is a dull spearhead.

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    5 Comments:

    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    Perhaps the West will end up negotiating with China, not Russia.

    Russia, [Khanna] observes, “has no divine right to continue in its present form.” This says considerably more than it seems to at first. The country’s vast eastern section is being gobbled up by China through investment and immigration.
    Guess who's coming to power in 'new' new world order

    April 2, 2008 11:21 AM  
    Blogger Steve said...

    Welcome anonymous. Khanna takes on a grand mosaic of countries in his book; in my view, he gets some right, and some wrong. I think it's the latter with Russia. It seems to me that we can be assured that Russia will continue to exist, say, when our great-grandchildren are studying this era. Now, its east is quickly depopulating, and it's going to have to start thinking about that.

    As to your larger point, I think we'll be negotiating with Russia and China.

    Thanks for the comment and best, Steve

    April 2, 2008 11:18 PM  
    Blogger Stankoniforous One said...

    Who could the US trot out to be their spokesman. That individual would have to be: 1. Knowledgeable about the region at large. 2. Have working knowledge of Russian, etc. 3. No clear oil company ties (conflict of interest)

    Number 3 is the biggest problem. Every American with some pull in the region has worked for an oil company.

    the recently resigned Admiral Fallon, maybe?

    April 3, 2008 9:54 AM  
    Blogger Steve said...

    Welcome Stankoniforous One. I personally do not think that No. 3 is essential. The most important items, in my opinion, are stature, savvy and intuitive skill at haggling. There are two men who would soar in this job -- Zbigniew Brzezinski and Jim Baker. I am told that Condi Rice (and Bush) would never welcome Brzezinski after how he has savaged Bush's foreign policy. And the two would blanch at being upstaged by Baker, against whom, like Brzezinski, Rice is an intellectual and diplomatic dwarf.

    Thanks for the remarks and best, Steve

    April 3, 2008 10:40 AM  
    Blogger Stankoniforous One said...

    Well #3 is important. Someone who will negotiate the best interest of the American public.

    Zbigniew Brzezinski and Jim Baker, those two are giants.

    April 3, 2008 11:30 AM  

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