Steve LeVine covers foreign affairs for BusinessWeek. He previously was correspondent for Central Asia and the Caucasus for The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times for 11 years. His first book, The Oil and the Glory, a history of the former Soviet Union through the lens of oil, was published in October 2007. Putin’s Labyrinth, his new book, profiles Russia through the lives and deaths of six Russians. It was released this week.

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A Blog on Russia, Central Asia and
the Caucasus

Thursday, February 14, 2008

Putin On Stage

Vladimir Putin conducted his valedictory annual news conference today, and it was a bravura performance – more than four and a half hours long (Reuters video). Among the questions posed involved the pipeline war. Putin, a consummate player of market economics whose pipeline strategy – Nord Stream and South Stream – has left the U.S. and the European Union flat-footed, accused Washington of politicizing pipelines. And he’s right – if the issue were purely economic, no one would care much about Russia’s economic inroads in Europe; his critics are apprehensive that, as it has acted in Georgia, Ukraine and elsewhere, Russia will exploit market advantage for political leverage. Putin also pointed out that the west “has no resource base” – no natural gas to put into the alternative pipeline it favors. Again, Putin is correct. That is what makes the West's proposed trans-Caspian and Nabucco lines so far untenable.

Here are Putin’s direct remarks:

"As for what smells of oil or gas, we know how our American partners conduct dialogue in Europe. They come to certain countries, try to convince them not to buy our resources or to try to find different routes to deliver fuels, avoiding Russian territory. They put pressure on these countries and that's already in the political sphere. I think this is a wrong policy, a dumb one. Moreover, it's unprofessional, since behind all this politicization of the question, there are no calculations, there's no resource base."

"On the issue of Gazprom biting into the body of Europe [with its efforts to acquire assets there], why the Americans are so concerned for the European body, I don't know. Maybe because they want a piece of it, they like it, it's a nice body. … Yes, the economic power of Russian companies is growing, of course, but our main consumers, especially in Europe, should only be happy about that. … Gazprom isn't demanding any exclusives, it just requires fair cooperation.

Photo: OpenDemocracy
Rights: Creative Commons

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2 Comments:

Blogger Brian said...

Hi Steve
The truth hurts, and Putin has a way of shooting directly between the eyes at his US counterparts. They are unprofessional and don't appear to be taking energy security nearly as seriously as he is.

But - again, typical Putin - don't you think he's 'playing the tough guy' a bit? He's pretty worried about gas supplies too if he's signing deals for at- and near- market prices for Uzbek and Turkmen gas?

Don't you think these 'bloviations' could also come back to bite him in various forms? (Not that Putins are any different than Bush's bloviations) ? Uzbekistan has not signed the '$1 billion PSA' from 2005. Also, as is natural in most dynamic markets, whether the US is whispering in it's EU partners ears or not - buyers are rational economic entities, too. IF alternatives are developed, and the 'buyer's power' grows, what will his negotiating position be? Force?

February 14, 2008 10:07 PM  
Blogger Steve said...

Hi Brian. Putin is an inveterately staged tough guy (I'm sure you've seen the web comparisons with Daniel Craig). He is shrewd I think to set up the infrastructure linking Turkmenistan to Europe via Russia. After that, Russia has the choice. As Sheila Heslin, the brilliant NSC director from the 1990s once said, those are facts on the ground. There is no arguing with them. The West is playing catch up. Thanks and best, Steve

February 14, 2008 11:41 PM  

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