Steve LeVine covers foreign affairs for BusinessWeek. He previously was correspondent for Central Asia and the Caucasus for The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times for 11 years. His first book, The Oil and the Glory, a history of the former Soviet Union through the lens of oil, was published in October 2007. Putin’s Labyrinth, his new book, profiles Russia through the lives and deaths of six Russians. It was released this week.

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A Blog on Russia, Central Asia and
the Caucasus

Sunday, January 13, 2008

Electricity in Kabul and (Don't Hold Your Breath) Possible Reconciliation in Kazakhstan

Lights in Kabul: The Associated Press has an excellent story on one reason why Afghan President Hamid Karzai and the U.S. can't get much political traction in that country -- six years after the Taliban were dispersed, Kabul has just three hours a day of electricity at this time. Though I've been tracking Afghanistan since first going there almost two decades ago, I had no idea that the standard of living in the capital was still so miserable. There's a simple rule I learned talking to people in the Caucasus, Central Asia, Afghanistan and Pakistan -- if you want political support, give them simple things like electricity, clean water, schools, roads and hospitals. (tip to The Oil Drum)

Kazhegeldin to return? The opposition blogosphere in Kazakhstan is lit up with new reports that former Prime Minister Akezhan Kazhegeldin is -- this time really -- returning to Kazakhstan a decade after going into exile. I'm told that this time the talk could be serious. Recall that it's Kazhegeldin who has single-handedly made President Nazarbayev's life miserable over the last decade. Well, not entirely single-handedly -- Nazarbayev himself has played a role with his clumsy handling of rival and critical voices. Yet Kazhegeldin financed the information war in Washington and London that led to a plummet in Nazarbayev's reputation in the West through the revelations of what became known as Kazakhgate. In terms of post-Soviet pocket-lining, we're not talking big numbers -- American businessman Jim Giffen is accused of channeling about $80 million in oil company payments to the numbered bank accounts of Nazarbayev, his family and associates. But it shocked, shocked Washington to see actual evidence that its allies have power AND money aspirations, and moreover that they (listen up) rig their elections! Kazhegeldin and Nazarbayev have had secret talks numerous times over the years, but until now have not managed to reach agreement on Kazhegeldin's return. One main issue has been the very real apprehension that Kazhegeldin could be imprisoned or killed.

Photo: pittaya
Rights: Creative Commons

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2 Comments:

Anonymous Peter S. said...

What is the incentive for Nazarbaev to talk to Kazhegeldin, let alone letting him back into the country?

January 13, 2008 3:02 PM  
Blogger Steve said...

Welcome Peter S. One plausible explanation I've heard is that he's seeking to clear the decks of possible disruption before Kazakhstan assumes the OSCE chairmanship in 2010. Another is that he wants to remove Kazhegeldin from the equation in Giffen's foreign bribery trial. But what concession has Nazarbayev gotten in return? In general, I think that returning from exile doesn't really work. Think Ninoy Aquino and Boris Shikhmuradov. Thanks for the question and best, Steve

January 13, 2008 3:32 PM  

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