Steve LeVine covers foreign affairs for BusinessWeek. He previously was correspondent for Central Asia and the Caucasus for The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times for 11 years. His first book, The Oil and the Glory, a history of the former Soviet Union through the lens of oil, was published in October 2007. Putin’s Labyrinth, his new book, profiles Russia through the lives and deaths of six Russians. It was released this week.

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A Blog on Russia, Central Asia and
the Caucasus

Thursday, November 29, 2007

Explosion: The Age of Pipeline Power

The explosion on the Canada-to-U.S. oil pipeline should help people close to home grasp why the big powers are spending so much time these days worrying about the oil and natural gas flow from the Caspian Sea.

Yesterday's explosion in Minnesota shut off the flow of about a million barrels of oil a day from Canada to the U.S., and that temporarily sent crude oil prices up by $4 a barrel. Even though they settled down fast, the AAA says the accident may push up U.S. gasoline prices in the northeast and midwest for several weeks.

That's just a million barrels -- one-twentieth of the daily U.S. oil diet.

Further afield, NATO is helping to secure the Baku-Ceyhan oil pipeline, the million-barrel-a-day line carrying Caspian crude to the Mediterranean. The U.S. applied enormous diplomatic pressure to get the line built. It came on line last year. Within a decade, the Caspian will be exporting between 4.5 million and 5 million barrels of oil a day.

Now the U.S. and Europe are pitted against Russia to secure natural gas from another part of the Caspian -- the republic of Turkmenistan, which has the world's fourth-largest supply of the fuel.

Again, the matter is pipelines. Russia has actually obtained a contract allowing it to buy much of Turkmenistan's gas supply, move it north through new and refurbished pipelines, and ship it on to Europe and elsewhere at a huge markup. The U.S. and the European Union haven't given up, though. They are championing a competing pipeline that would take Turkmen natural gas West, skirting Russia.

They aren't the only players -- China would also like to grab a big share of Turkmenistan's gas and ship it east.

These countries understand that one big dimension of power and influence today is control not necessarily of oil and natural gas supplies themselves, but over their flow to the market. Similar to the long battle over sea lanes in prior centuries, they are doing all they can to take control over the pipelines that carry former Soviet oil and natural gas to the rest of the world.

Photo: Gothickmatt
Rights: Creative Commons

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